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Strong balance sheet stocks won't save your portfolio if financial conditions in the U.S. continue to tighten. Past tightening in financial conditions has dented performance across equities and credit markets.
The six FAANMG stocks account for virtually all the gains in the S&P 500 this year. The returns of the other 494 stocks are consistent with signs of a moderating economy.
Today's topics include a preview of the FOMC meeting, emerging markets, political risk, the cost of indexing, Chinese bond defaults and diverging policies in the U.S. and EU.
The favorable beta provided by an expanding global central bank balance sheet may very well hinge on the timing of the ECB's exit from QE.
The positive feedback loop between publicity and higher prices for cryptocurrencies has reversed. Search interest is falling along with prices.
Wage growth expectations are tempering toward 2.8% year-over-year by the end of 2018. Slowing consumer search trends (Google) and difficulty for employers to find quality labor are helping keep a lid on improving wages.
Central banks are making another abrupt run at tightening.
With U.S. yields on the rise in 2018, it should come as no surprise that much of the fixed income world has suffered on a return basis. For perspective, we compare current year-to-date returns to returns of previous years.
Simplification in the capital structures of a number of large oil and gas limited partnerships may be a catalyst for an industry that has been shunned by investors. ETFs focused on these mid-stream energy firms saw a surge of net inflows in April and are now +18% since the end of March.
Recent growth in leveraged long volatility ETF assets has been offset by steady net outflows from short volatility funds throughout May.
IPOs are good if you can get in on the initial offering, but don't expect outperformance in the years afterwards.