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ECB Likely the Most Watched Central Bank in 2018
July 28, 2017
Reuters – Fed balance sheet plan may equal three rate hikes for emerging markets According to calculations by IIF, one of the most authoritative trackers of global capital flows, this will slice just over $200 billion off the U.S. central bank’s balance sheet next year, assuming it keeps reinvesting some of the money for the time… Continue reading ECB Likely the Most Watched Central Bank in 2018
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Mnuchin Reiterates His Stance On Payment Prioritization
July 28, 2017
The Wall Street Journal – Mnuchin Says He Has No Intent to Prioritize Payments if Debt Limit Isn’t Raised Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told lawmakers Thursday he has “no intent” to prioritize certain government payments and delay others if Congress fails to raise the federal borrowing limit. “I think that doesn’t make sense,” he told… Continue reading Mnuchin Reiterates His Stance On Payment Prioritization
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Turbulence Ahead for Health Care
July 28, 2017
Bloomberg – Obamacare Repeal Collapses as Senate GOP Blocks Health Bill McCain joins GOP holdouts to defeat ‘skinny’ repeal measure The decision by McCain to vote no came after weeks of brinkmanship and after his dramatic return from cancer treatment to cast the 50th vote to start debate on the bill earlier this week. The GOP’s… Continue reading Turbulence Ahead for Health Care
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Chinese Yuan – Strength Against Dollar at Expense of Weakness Against Euro
July 28, 2017
Reuters – China’s yuan eases on dollar bounce, but set for 3rd weekly gain China’s yuan edged down on Friday after the central bank fixed a weaker mid-point and the dollar eased off multi-month lows, but it will likely stay under pressure on corporate dollar demand. Before the market opened, the People’s Bank of China set… Continue reading Chinese Yuan – Strength Against Dollar at Expense of Weakness Against Euro
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European ETFs Continue To See Inflows
July 28, 2017
The Financial Times – European equity fund inflows reach nearly $30bn so far in 2017 European stock funds continue to curry favour with investors, with inflows to continental equity funds rising to nearly $30bn since the year began. Investors added $3.3bn to European equity funds in the week to July 26, according to flows tracked… Continue reading European ETFs Continue To See Inflows
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The Era of Ubiquitous and Accessible Information Dampening Volatility Webcast
July 28, 2017
OPEN The Era of Ubiquitous and Accessible Information Dampening Volatility In our latest webcast, Ben Breitholtz looks at his post titled The Era of Ubiquitous and Accessible Information Dampening Volatility. Risk as measured by implied volatility across all major asset classes is nearing its lowest in recorded history. Volatility is proving to not… Continue reading The Era of Ubiquitous and Accessible Information Dampening Volatility Webcast
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Bob Shiller is (Still) Bearish On Stocks
July 28, 2017
CNBC – The market risk that makes Nobel laureate Robert Shiller ‘lie awake worrying’ In a special note to CNBC, Shiller writes that low volatility could be “the quiet before the storm.” It’s a phenomenon which Shiller says is making him “lie awake worrying.” And, that’s not the only issue he’s raising. His Shiller PE Ratio,… Continue reading Bob Shiller is (Still) Bearish On Stocks
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Using Growth vs. Value Stocks As A Cyclical Indicator
July 28, 2017
The Wall Street Journal – The Bull Market’s Growth Problem Stocks are hitting records and valuations are at 15-year highs, both signs of confidence. But a closer look at what is driving the rally shows that the eight-year bull market may be nearing its end. The current earnings season makes it clear that investors are… Continue reading Using Growth vs. Value Stocks As A Cyclical Indicator
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The Road To Tax Havens Goes Through Europe
July 28, 2017
Bloomberg – The Most Popular Ways to Funnel Cash to Tax Havens The road to the world’s biggest tax havens goes through Britain and the Netherlands. The countries are the two most popular routes companies use to funnel cash away from the tax man, according to a study from the University of Amsterdam. Together with… Continue reading The Road To Tax Havens Goes Through Europe
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Explaining Away A Broken Phillips Curve
July 28, 2017
The Financial Times – Back to the future on inflation Across the developed economies, the Phillips curve has gone ignominiously flat. The world’s leading central bankers are scratching their heads. Elaborate epicycles have been proposed to preserve the orthodox theory. Perhaps the relevant output gap is no longer domestic, but global: worldwide, there is still… Continue reading Explaining Away A Broken Phillips Curve
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Who Buys Stocks And Why?
July 28, 2017
The Financial Times – Clearing up some misconceptions about how the stock market works You can learn lots of interesting things by closely studying America’s Financial Accounts (formerly known as the Flow of Funds) published by the Federal Reserve, such as how the US stock market actually works. … This last chart puts everything together by scaling buybacks, mergers and acquisitions,… Continue reading Who Buys Stocks And Why?