Today's topics include the Fed's measure of inflation expectations ticks higher, peak stock market bearishness in the latest BofA survey, all this uncertainty pushes term premium to highest since 2014, gold inventories' effect on GDPnow, the SF Fed has an eye on the labor market, Bessent teases increased buybacks for off-the-run securities, how do stocks respond to a death cross?, and zero-day options & intraday volatility
When it comes to recent price action, Jim Bianco points to bonds as the driving force. He looks at the correlation between stocks and bonds to explain why these market moves occurred. He doesn't expect the broader indices to perform as exceptionally as they did in the past and urges investors to watch for individual stocks and sector themes.
The move higher in yields was started by the realization that tariff-driven inflation was going to keep the Fed on the sidelines even if the economy sank into a recession.
Foreign selling of U.S. Treasuries appears to be coming from Europe, where China custodies some of its holdings of U.S. debt.
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors.
Today's topics include inflation expectations, Treasury market demand, round & round we go on tariff headlines, betting against the U.S. dollar, the markets need answers, defining a recession, the wealth effect, and Fedspeak gets a bit more concerned over inflation
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to explain what’s going on in the Bond Market with David Faber & Sara Eisen.
Today's topics include China responds on tariff front, more on yesterday's CPI release, should the Fed take the other side of the basis trade unwind?, uncertainty paralyzing businesses, NAV dislocations when markets get crazy, Fedspeak, bonds vs. bunds, the dollar's slide, crude oil's effect on the trade deficit, and stocks for the long run?
This is an exclusive "Hedgeye Investing Summit" interview between Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research, and Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough.