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Draghi May Set the Tone for 2018, However Riksbank Likely a First-Mover
August 21, 2017
OPEN Draghi May Set the Tone for 2018, However Riksbank Likely a First-Mover In our latest webcast, Ben Breitholtz takes a look at his post titled Draghi May Set the Tone for 2018, However Riksbank Likely a First-Mover. Over one-third of Europe’s economies are at or above 2% core inflation, potentially ending a drought… Continue reading Draghi May Set the Tone for 2018, However Riksbank Likely a First-Mover
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Things are Looking Up for Draghi
August 21, 2017
Bloomberg – Europe’s Central Bank Needs a Little Zen Officials can decide when and how to taper their stimulus, but they can’t control how the euro responds. Europe is getting back in the game, and the world economy is all the better for it. The European Central Bank shouldn’t spend too much time worrying about whether… Continue reading Things are Looking Up for Draghi
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Where Earnings Stand
August 21, 2017
CNBC – S&P 500 stocks notch two quarters of double-digit profit gains for first time in six years * The S&P 500 earnings increased 10.8 percent in the second quarter, the first time the index has posted two quarters of double-digit gains since 2011, according to CFRA. * Strategist Lindsey Bell noted that growth in 2017… Continue reading Where Earnings Stand
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VIX Trades Dominate Market
August 21, 2017
MoneyBeat (WSJ Blog) – VIX ETFs: Trading Like Hot Cakes Bets on stock-market volatility are gobbling up a record share of U.S. stock trading. A frenzy of trading in the five largest exchange-traded products that profit either when volatility spikes or declines accounted for 7.2% of total composite stock market volume Thursday, an unprecedented feat… Continue reading VIX Trades Dominate Market
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The Fear of Low Volatility
August 21, 2017
Bloomberg – Stock Returns, Like Politics, Are Not Normal There are two primary reasons for the protracted decline in both implied and realized volatility. If it is option selling itself that is playing a role in muting market volatility and if this in turn is feeding into frameworks that influence how portfolios are sized, the degree… Continue reading The Fear of Low Volatility
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Finding A Breakeven Price On Crude
August 21, 2017
The Wall Street Journal – Old Oil Is New Again As crude prices languish under $50 a barrel, and with increasing costs for land, labor and infrastructure, some shale fracking operations are starting to look expensive. That has some investors turning to conventional drilling to make a profit…Some oil companies are choosing instead to apply… Continue reading Finding A Breakeven Price On Crude
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The ECB Is Running Out Of Bonds To Buy
August 21, 2017
The Financial Times – ECB’s bond shortage dilemma sharpens as inflation slows While traders will try to glean any indication of the ECB’s intentions, Mr Draghi faces a dilemma of his own: the central bank is running out of bonds to buy. Its own rules restrict it to only purchasing a third of each country’s… Continue reading The ECB Is Running Out Of Bonds To Buy
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A Call For A More Aggressive Fed
August 21, 2017
Bloomberg View – The Fed’s Timidity Is Helping No One There’s a lot more the central bank could do to spur growth. The U.S. Federal Reserve believes it faces a dilemma. Despite more than quintupling its balance sheet from about $800 billion in September 2008 to $4.5 trillion in an effort to stimulate the economy, growth… Continue reading A Call For A More Aggressive Fed
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Deleveraging In China
August 21, 2017
The Financial Times – China July money data show softer deleveraging approach July monetary data from the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) presented more evidence of the government’s campaign to rein in borrowing and lending activities in the Chinese interbank market. However, the data also showed how the authorities have recalibrated their approach to deleveraging… Continue reading Deleveraging In China
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Managing The Risks Of Leveraged Loans
August 21, 2017
Bloomberg View – Leveraged Loans The Lure of Junk As the U.S. Federal Reserve raises interest rates, leveraged loans provide an important test of whether the post-crisis system can better manage risk. Loading too much debt onto companies can lead to busts that hurt shareholders, lenders and employees. Money managers who buy leveraged loans say they… Continue reading Managing The Risks Of Leveraged Loans
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China Is Not Always A Net Exporter
August 21, 2017
Bloomberg – With Some Countries, China Is in the Red China’s big trade surpluses hog all the headlines, but imbalances go both ways. South Korea’s $72.2 billion surplus with the People’s Republic, in fact, tops a list of more than 40 nations that export more to the country than they import from it, followed by… Continue reading China Is Not Always A Net Exporter