Charts of the Week
Tracking The Fed’s Balance Sheet Reductions
March 21, 2018
Today the Fed increased the speed at which it will reduce its balance sheet to $30 billion per month. These charts track their progress so far.
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Understanding Fedspeak
March 21, 2018
So far Powell seems to be continuing the job started by Yellen. Statements remain shorter and easier to understand than those of the past 5 years.
Charts of the Week
A Look At Stock Market Sentiment
March 21, 2018
Given the volatility in the markets over the past couple months, a look at stock market sentiment is in order.
Charts of the Week
April Has Been The Best Month To Own Stocks Since 1980
March 21, 2018
As March draws to a close, it is worth noting April has historically been the best month to own stocks since 1980. It has also proven to be one of the worst months to own bonds.
Charts of the Week
Short Volatility ETFs Live On
March 21, 2018
Total assets in short volatility funds recovered almost immediately from early February losses.
Charts of the Week
Are Stocks Overvalued?
March 21, 2018
A look at stock valuations
Charts of the Week
Midterm Election Update
March 21, 2018
The House is very much up for grabs, but the Republicans are expected to hold the Senate.
Charts of the Week
Stock Total Returns Since The December 2017 Rate Hike
March 21, 2018
Stock total returns since the Fed hiked on December 17, 2017
Charts of the Week
Commodity Total Returns Since The December 2017 Rate Hike
March 21, 2018
Commodity total returns since the Fed hiked on December 17, 2017
Charts of the Week
Long-Term Chart: Four Centuries Of Stock Prices
March 21, 2018
Stocks prices since 1629.
Newsclips
Financial Conditions Primed to Tighten Without Rising Inflation and Wages
March 21, 2018
Hawkish rhetoric is warranted given improved economic conditions and heightened financial leverage. But, inflation and wages need to rebound into the summer to support three-plus hikes by the Federal Reserve over the next 12 months. Languishing inflation would exacerbate the tightening of financial conditions, likely quickly testing Powell's tolerance.
Newsclips
Rising Earnings Should Boost Inflation, But Not Necessarily Stocks
March 21, 2018
Rising real earnings suggest core inflation and wages will rise on a lag. The S&P 500 will likely continue to rise, but ultimately produce dampened returns and higher volatility based on similar past scenarios. U.S. TIPS standout as calm, stable performers.