Today's topics include dissecting the Fed's latest dot plots, the time-lag problem with Trump's policies, understanding Fedspeak, foreign Treasury demand, Fed remittances to the Treasury, the difficulty in cutting federal spending, an eye on the Strait of Hormuz, and stablecoins & monetary policy
Today's topics include what's ahead for the Fed?, productivity is the American economy's greatest asset, the cost of food, clock continues to run on trade deals, the new retail question: does anything ever really happen in markets?, the fate of the dollar, companies are getting leaner to grow faster, on supplementary leverage ratio changes, and stablecoin legislation takes another step forward
Many have been concerned about a slowdown in consumer spending leading to a broader economic slowdown that might impact bottom-line earnings growth. These concerns are not reflected in the data.
Today's topics include Fed officials have their eye on inflation expectations, Trump's battle with the Fed, the latest on Iran, oil supply & demand, foreign demand for U.S. treasuries, active vs. passive ETFs, betting against the dollar, central banks' gold purchases, and Lagarde on the euro's big opportunity
Where should yields be? What are the current drivers of the bond market? What is the latest on inflation and the economy?
The Commitments of Traders report allows investors to gauge position changes for different groups of traders/investors.
Today's topics include crude oil reverses much of initial spike higher, the strait of Hormuz, the world is less dependent on crude oil than in past decades, betting on rate cuts after Powell's term, uncertainty keeping implied stock correlations low, Judy Shelton on the Fed's balance sheet, a long-term look at U.S. vs. European stock returns, Japan to continue tapering bond purchases, and Chinese imports of foreign goods
Today's topics include the dollar reaches a critical point, momentum in equities, the case for rate cuts, what changes the debt trajectory, misplaced concern over the 30-year auction, Xi vs. Trump: a battle of time horizon, a quick profile of the Chinese economy, and active ETFs find their moment in 2025