Newsclips
What We’re Reading
June 13, 2018
Today's topics include Fed policy and Inflation, the FOMC meeting, bond traders, lumber tariffs, monopolies, big banks, oil forecasts and more on the crypto washout.
Today's topics include Fed policy and Inflation, the FOMC meeting, bond traders, lumber tariffs, monopolies, big banks, oil forecasts and more on the crypto washout.
Small business surveys for compensation are at all-time highs, but real wage growth has failed to follow through. Technology is the latent factor anchoring core inflation and wages. The more profit margin improvements are eaten up by technology, the heavier the anchor. In response, options markets have been very hesitant to price in headline inflation running above 2.5% for the foreseeable future.
Strong balance sheet stocks won't save your portfolio if financial conditions in the U.S. continue to tighten. Past tightening in financial conditions has dented performance across equities and credit markets.
The six FAANMG stocks account for virtually all the gains in the S&P 500 this year. The returns of the other 494 stocks are consistent with signs of a moderating economy.
Today's topics include a preview of the FOMC meeting, emerging markets, political risk, the cost of indexing, Chinese bond defaults and diverging policies in the U.S. and EU.
The favorable beta provided by an expanding global central bank balance sheet may very well hinge on the timing of the ECB's exit from QE.
The investment management industry has highly elastic pricing. To-date, the industry has been slow to respond to the lower-cost funds. However, the flurry of stories about funds cutting fees in the last few weeks could be the start of a larger trend toward aggressive pricing.
The positive feedback loop between publicity and higher prices for cryptocurrencies has reversed. Search interest is falling along with prices.
Today's topics include this week's important economic events, stock market sentiment, artificial intelligence, emerging markets, CDS, social security, the mechanics of raising rates, betting against volatility, stock returns after being added to an index and comparing debt to liquid assets.