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No One Knows How Brexit Will Be Resolved
January 16, 2019
Brexit negotiations continue with no clear resolution. Until an endpoint is clear, the UK economy remains at risk of grinding to a halt.
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What Gets Fed Hikes Back on Table?
January 16, 2019
The market is still not pricing in a hike this year, but crude oil's rise has the potential to change the Fed's outlook.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
January 16, 2019
Today's topics include high yield, the yield curve, the government shutdown, earnings expectations, U.S. bank profits, the euro, the housing market, worrying about inflation, Ester George speaks and retail sales.
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Cartoons
January 16, 2019
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High Yield Index Trading, The Hedge Keeps Working
January 15, 2019
Traders continue to use the high yield index market as a hedge rather than trading the underlying bonds. This is a strategy that works while liquidity exists, but could pose serious problems in volatile markets.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
January 15, 2019
Today's topics include Brexit, lower earnings expectations, the looming credit crunch, wage growth, predicting recessions, investors hiding in cash, U.S. sanctions on Venezuela, J.P. Morgan misses profit expectations, Yellen speaks, trade talks between the U.S. and EU and how much value was lost in the Lehman bankruptcy.
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Cartoons
January 15, 2019
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Why Economists Cannot Predict Recessions
January 14, 2019
Economic data often gives very little evidence of impending recessions, leading to a poor forecasting record among economists.
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Equities Have an Earnings Problem
January 14, 2019
Earnings season picks up steam this week. Q4 2018 earnings are expected to be decent, but all eyes will be on 2019 guidance.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
January 14, 2019
Today's topics include the slowdown in China, global economic slowdown, U.S. equities' foreign revenue exposure, PG&E to file for bankruptcy, Gundlach warns on debt, GDPR's unintended consequences, the housing market, stock bullishness and a drop in Citi's trading revenues.
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Cartoons
January 14, 2019
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Is Europe Scaring The World?
January 11, 2019
The continued deterioration in European economies is impacting the global earnings outlook.