Charts of the Week
Breaking Down the Fed’s Balance Sheet by Maturity
January 30, 2019
A look at the Fed's holdings of Treasury and agency securities by maturity
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Year 3 of a Presidency Favors Stocks
January 30, 2019
Year three of a presidential cycle has historically been very favorable for the stock market.
Charts of the Week
Quantifying the Shutdown’s Effect on Employment
January 30, 2019
Although the government shutdown has come to a temporary close, a spike in temporary layoffs is likely to show up when the BLS releases its employment report on Friday.
Charts of the Week
Measuring Political Risk
January 30, 2019
According to GeoQuant, political risk in the U.S. is now on par with that of China.
Charts of the Week
13% Rally Still Not Enough to Lure Bulls to Gold
January 30, 2019
Despite a 13% rally since the mid-August low, sentiment in gold remains neutral.
Charts of the Week
Stock Correlations Remain High
January 30, 2019
The average correlation between individual stocks and the S&P500 is once again on the rise, making the art of stock picking more difficult.
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
January 30, 2019
Selected charts and excerpts from our research over the past week
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Federal Debt to GDP Since 1791
January 30, 2019
A look at federal debt to GDP since 1791
Newsclips
FOMC Outlook: Will “Flexible” and “Patient” Be Added to the FOMC Statement?
January 30, 2019
Will the Fed formally use the words Powell carefully read on January 4 ... "flexible and patience?" If so, this could account for "half a move." No hike at the next meeting unless they drop these words. It's inclusion also means the Fed still wants to hike, just quibbling about the timing.
Newsclips
The Fed Sows More Confusion About the Balance Sheet
January 30, 2019
The Fed and the markets continue to hold different opinions on the impact of balance sheet reductions.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
January 30, 2019
Today's topics include the CNBC survey, the FOMC meeting, recession talk, quants vs the bond kings, earnings, the dollar, crude oil supply and sanctions on Venezuela.