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Earnings Update: Growth Turns Positive
May 7, 2019
With 80% of companies now reporting Q1 2019 results, earnings growth turned positive. However, the growth rate is still below the inflation rate, as are the Q2 2019 and Q3 2019 earnings forecasts.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
May 7, 2019
Today's topics include the Fed's warning on corporate debt, the trade war, big banks seek to liberate billions of dollars in funds, leveraged loans, bond ETFs, Gundlach speaks and US inventories.
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Cartoons
May 7, 2019
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CoT Update: Too Much Dollar Bullishness?
May 6, 2019
Speculators are making extreme bets that the euro, yen and Swiss franc will fall (dollar bullish). Contrarian theory suggests this is bearish for the dollar.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
May 6, 2019
Today's topics include the trade war, Fed officials speak in the wake of meeting, corporate bond inflows, shorting volatility, supply/demand in the bond market, emerging market interest expenses, hedge funds, the search for Fed nominees and Warren Buffet's attack on private equity funds.
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Cartoons
May 6, 2019
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Employment in Pictures – Why Bonds Might Like This Payroll Report
May 3, 2019
Total labor is growing at its slowest pace in a year. The bond market likes this news.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
May 3, 2019
Today's topics include Stephen Moore on why he withdrew, why Powell has had some communication issues, gold, U.S. inflation data, disrupting the financial sector, recession fears fade, Venezuela, CDOs are returning as an investor favorite, Eurozone inflation, LIBOR, Ray Dalio on monetary policy, ESG investing and how Amazon Prime has changed shopping forever.
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Cartoons
May 3, 2019
Newsclips
Powell Goes from Autopilot to Transitory
May 2, 2019
Powell made another declarative statement in saying low inflation is "transitory" and then offered weak excuses as to why. It reminded the market of "automatic pilot" last December and the response was similar.
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Understanding Fedspeak
May 2, 2019
FOMC statements continue to get shorter and easier to understand. According to the Flesch-Kincaid grade level test, readers don't even need a high school diploma to understand yesterday's statement.