Charts of the Week
GDP Growth Drives U.S. 10-Year Yields
June 26, 2019
There is a perception that real growth drives U.S. interest rates. Lately, U.S. yields have correlated more directly to world growth rather than U.S. growth.
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Revisiting GDP Growth During Expansions
June 26, 2019
Previously we compared GDP growth during different expansions on a nominal basis. How does each expansion compare on a real GDP and per capita real GDP basis?
Charts of the Week
Corporates Continue One of Best Years on Record
June 26, 2019
The Bloomberg/Barclays Corporate Index has returned 9.61% YTD, making 2019 one of the best total return years on record.
Charts of the Week
Foreigners Sell U.S. Equities for 12th Straight Month
June 26, 2019
Foreigners have sold U.S. equities for a record 12 straight months.
Charts of the Week
The State of Donald Trump
June 26, 2019
A look at Trump's approval rating
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
June 26, 2019
Posts of interest from this past week
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Miles Driven & Gas Consumption in the U.S.
June 26, 2019
A look at miles driven and gas consumption in the U.S. since 1919
Newsclips
How Does the Market View Tariffs and the Fed?
June 26, 2019
Many on Wall Street believe tariffs and the Fed are creating a great deal of uncertainty. In actuality, the markets do not appear overly concerned about tariffs for the time being. They do view the Fed as more significant, however.
Newsclips
Where Things Stand With the Democrats
June 26, 2019
The first Democrat debate is tonight. The betting markets tell us where each candidate's chances stand.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
June 26, 2019
Today's topics include Mnuchin's comments about a trade deal with China, China continues to buy U.S. crude oil despite tariffs, Powell insists the Fed is independent, the "new normal", Bullard considered for Fed board job, high yield issuance, Jamie Dimon talks student loans, bitcoin and other major cryptos jump, more on Libra and the ten most powerful hedge fund managers in 2019.
Newsclips
Cartoons
June 26, 2019
Newsclips
The Biggest Concern for the Equity Market
June 25, 2019
S&P 500 earnings forecasts are not good. There is hope that positive company guidance is showing the way to better days.