Charts of the Week
A Long-Term Look At Interest Rates
July 3, 2019
A long-term view of interest rates in the U.S.
A long-term view of interest rates in the U.S.
Long-Term look at the pages in the Federal Register since 1936.
A look at U.S. home prices over the long-term.
Grains back to 1892 and the number of farms in the US back to 1912.
A long-term look at demographics.
A look at several wage stats since 1774.
Today's topics include the Fed's next moves, stock buybacks fall for the first time in seven quarters, the US threatens EU with additional tariffs, the trade war and business uncertainty, life at Deutsche bank, hedge funds track private jets for mega deals and global recession talk.
A majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg last week (20 of 37) do NOT expect the Fed to cut rates on July 31. Meanwhile, the market has priced a probability of a cut at 100%.
Q2 2019 earnings growth forecasts stand at -2.51%. Assuming the quarter sees the typical beat rate, the final growth number might be close to 0%. Q2 2019 revenue growth forecasts continue to fall and are down to just 3.36%.
A look at total returns through June 2019.
Today's topics include the Fed's balance sheet reductions, passive fund flows, hedge funds' rising stars, Draghi going out with a bang, crude oil supply/demand, weaponizing the dollar, reaching for yield, a look at job revisions, trading tech stocks, Arthur Laffer and Fed independence, Judy Shelton's bid for the Fed and recent tweets of interest.