Charts of the Week
Breaking Down Global GDP
July 17, 2019
A look at global GDP, broken down by country and region
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Breaking Down Global Market Cap to GDP
July 17, 2019
Although the aggregate size of North America's economy is on par with that of Asia and Europe, its stock market is much larger.
Charts of the Week
Who Are the 2020 Leaders?
July 17, 2019
The first Democrat debate appears to have only weakened front-runner Joe Biden's prospects for nomination. According to bettors, this has improved Trump's odds of winning next year's election.
Charts of the Week
The State of Donald Trump
July 17, 2019
A look at Trump's approval rating
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
July 17, 2019
Our top posts from the last week.
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Inflation-Adjusted Gold Prices Since 1901
July 17, 2019
A look at spot and inflation-adjusted gold prices since 1901
Newsclips
The BoJ’s Bad Idea That Might Be Copied
July 17, 2019
Yield curve control, as part of Japan's larger quantitative and qualitative monetary easing program, has not helped the Japanese economy or increased inflation. Along the way it has damaged their bond market, killed their banks and punished their savers. Naturally, the ECB and Fed are taking detailed notes to possibly implement something similar.
Newsclips
TIC Update – Japan’s Treasury Holdings Pull Even with China’s
July 17, 2019
China and Japan are now on equal footing in regards to their holdings of U.S. Treasuries. This month's data also shows China did not weaponize its Treasury holdings in a knee-jerk reaction to the trade war's escalation in early May.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
July 17, 2019
Today's topics include global developments and monetary policy, why a Fed-induced melt-up in stocks is unlikely, why markets are wrong to cheer a Fed cut, the dollar and monetary policy, leveraged loans, the death of the Phillips curve, retail sales, negative rates, dysfunction in the housing market and the Senate takes on Libra.
Newsclips
Cartoons
July 17, 2019
Newsclips
Concern over Trade Talks Has Abated in Recent Weeks
July 16, 2019
Foreign revenue-focused stocks are outperforming domestic revenue-focused stocks. While cable news interest in China/trade stories spiked after Trump's May 5 tweet, the vast majority of companies never mention it in their presentations.
Newsclips
Should the Fed Cut 50?
July 16, 2019
In our latest Bloomberg column, we make the case that the Fed should cut 50 basis points. More than likely, they will follow the market's orders and cut 25 basis points. This might not be enough.