Newsclips
Conference Call Today – Negative Rates Pose Problems for the Financial System
August 22, 2019
Join us today at 9 AM CT for our conference call.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 22, 2019
Today's topics include the 60/40 portfolio, the FOMC minutes, the idea of issuing ultra long-term debt, a debate on how to respond to the next downturn, economists' poor track record in predicting recessions, reasons investors might continue buying negative-yielding debt and Vietnam as a manufacturing alternative to China.
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Cartoons
August 22, 2019
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 21, 2019
Today's topics include the Fed's forward guidance tool, what the Fed must signal at Jackson Hole, economist Steven Ricchiuto wants the Fed to radically change its policy, shorting debt, slowing stock buybacks, Trump is considering tax cuts to save the economy, risky mortgages are making a comeback, Germany's negative yields and some competition among bond funds.
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Cartoons
August 21, 2019
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Talking Bonds
August 20, 2019
The 3m/10y yield curve has been inverted since late May and now stands at -36 basis points. Unless the Fed gets aggressive and cuts 50 basis points at the September 18 FOMC meeting, the curve will likely remain inverted.
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Earnings Update: Looking into Q3 2019
August 20, 2019
Now that roughly 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported, Q2 2019 earnings growth has bounced back to 1.94%.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 20, 2019
Today's topics include the Federal Reserve may have too much to do, a synchronized global slowdown, high-yield debt issuance, Japan and bank regulation.
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Cartoons
August 20, 2019
How economists and the Fed think
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Talking Jackson Hole
August 19, 2019
Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech this Friday has the potential to be a game-changer for the markets.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 19, 2019
Today's topics include stimulus expectations, calling the plunge protection team, seeking safe havens, negative-yielding debt, the risk in 100-year bonds, the trade war beyond China, a tweak to China's monetary policy benchmark and the cost of uncertainty.