Charts of the Week
Breaking Down Household Debt by Age Group
August 28, 2019
People under 30 hold a relatively small amount of debt compared to other age groups. Student loans make up the largest portion of their debt.
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Third Party Collections
August 28, 2019
The percentage of consumers with debt at a collection agency has fallen over the past couple years, although the average collection amount has risen over the same period.
Charts of the Week
Household Debt Delinquency Status
August 28, 2019
Household debt broken down by delinquency status
Charts of the Week
Mortgage Origination by Credit Score
August 28, 2019
Since the housing crash, mortgage originators have lent far less money to people with the riskiest credit scores.
Charts of the Week
Who Are the 2020 Leaders?
August 28, 2019
The betting markets are akin to a real-time poll. We use them to show how the 2020 election is unfolding.
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
August 28, 2019
Select charts from our recent posts
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: U.S. Crude Oil Production Since 1859
August 28, 2019
After declining for almost 40 years, crude oil production in the U.S. is now on the rise thanks to the shale revolution.
Newsclips
The Fed Stands Alone
August 28, 2019
For the first time ever, the fed funds rate is the highest rate in the developed world. The Fed has some explaining to do.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 28, 2019
Today's topics include responses to Dudley's op-ed, gauging the odds of ECB stimulus, dividend yields outpace bond yields, fighting a potential recession as the dollar appreciates, betting against the pound, banks' payday via LIBOR transition, crude oil as a recession indicator, more on fiscal policy versus monetary policy and Camp Kotok.
Newsclips
Cartoons
August 28, 2019
Newsclips
Where Does a 50 Basis Point Cut Kick In?
August 27, 2019
Based on recent moves in S&P futures and fed funds futures, we assess how far stocks might need to fall before fed funds begin pricing in a 50 basis point cut at the September meeting.
Newsclips
The Case for Long Bonds
August 27, 2019
Jim was on Bloomberg yesterday making the case for a continued rally in long bonds.