Charts of the Week
A Review of Foreign Net Purchases of U.S. Securities
November 22, 2019
A look at foreign net sales and purchases of U.S. Treasuries, agencies, corporates and equities through September
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Weekly Research Roundup
November 22, 2019
Select charts from our recent posts
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Long-Term Yields Since 1790
November 22, 2019
Long-term interest rates since 1790
Newsclips
Cartoons
November 22, 2019
Newsclips
Revisiting the Stock/Bond Relationship
November 21, 2019
The relationship between stock prices and bond yields is fluid over time and, we believe, is driven by the mindset over inflation. Currently, traders' mindsets remain where they have been the last 21 years, suggesting the markets do not fear any return to an inflationary environment.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
November 21, 2019
Today's topics include ETFs and market efficiency, the FOMC minutes on repo liquidity, the stigma of borrowing at the discount window, your daily does of trade war headlines, the BoJ's stock purchasing program, problems in the CLO market, the idea of bitcoin as an uncorrelated safe haven asset and QE does not mix well with negative rates.
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Cartoons
November 21, 2019
Newsclips
Impeachment Tracking
November 20, 2019
Today is arguably the most important day in the impeachment hearings, with European Union Ambassador Gordon Sondland testifying. Below we track the odds of Trump's impeachment according to the latest polls and betting market trading.
Newsclips
Democrat Debate Tonight
November 20, 2019
Another Democrat debate takes place tonight. Where do the candidates' odds stand going into it?
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
November 20, 2019
Today's topics include Bill Dudley on higher yields and term premia, paying up for private equity, previewing the FOMC minutes, searching for signs of an economic rebound, updating trade talks, Trump vs. Powell, betting on the British pound and modern monetary theory.
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Cartoons
November 20, 2019
Newsclips
Trump Complains About High Relative U.S. Rates
November 19, 2019
The U.S. has the highest interest rates in the developed world. Trump pressured Powell again yesterday, making the case that U.S. rates are too high relative to other countries.