Charts of the Week
Economists Are STILL Bearish on Yields
January 17, 2020
Economists have been expecting higher yields for at least a couple decades.
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Stocks Are Running Well Ahead of Moving Averages
January 17, 2020
A correction back to the 200-day moving average requires a 10%+ correction. From a technical standpoint such a move would keep the bull market intact, but it could provide plenty of theatrics in an election year.
Charts of the Week
The Sherman Ratio
January 17, 2020
The Sherman Ratio shows investors are receiving very little yield for the risk they are taking.
Charts of the Week
Personal Consumption: Goods vs. Services
January 17, 2020
A growing portion of personal expenditures is on services rather than goods.
Charts of the Week
A Decade of Inflation
January 17, 2020
Which components of CPI have increased the most over the past decade?
Charts of the Week
A Review of Foreign Net Purchases of U.S. Securities
January 17, 2020
A look at foreign net sales and purchases of U.S. Treasuries, agencies, corporates and equities through November
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
January 17, 2020
Select charts from our recent posts
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Inflation-Adjusted Gold Prices Since 1901
January 17, 2020
A look at spot and inflation-adjusted gold prices since 1901
Newsclips
TIC Update – Detailing the Largest Holders of U.S. Treasuries
January 17, 2020
Japan remains the largest foreign holder of Treasury securities for the sixth month running, but the Fed owns more than China and Japan combined.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
January 17, 2020
Today's topics include money market funds helped liquidity at year-end, to QE or not to QE, Chinese GDP growth hits 6.1%, the return of the 20-year bond, the new method of trade negotiations, declining birth rates, Google/Alphabet joins the $1 trillion club, quant performance and round two for Judy Shelton's nomination.
Newsclips
Cartoons
January 17, 2020
Newsclips
Macro/Electronic Trading in Corporate Bonds
January 16, 2020
High yield bonds have begun to trade like an index as electronic and ETF trading become more prominent in the credit world. This is concerning as the high yield market is too idiosyncratic for this to be the case long-term.