Newsclips
More on Crude Oil ETPs Causing a Financial Crisis
April 28, 2020
Yesterday Jim talked to Erik Townsend of Macrovoices about a potential black swan event due to negative crude oil prices.
Yesterday Jim talked to Erik Townsend of Macrovoices about a potential black swan event due to negative crude oil prices.
Today's topics include metrics to watch for signs of a rebound, PPP overwhelmed again as round 2 starts, Fed expands scope of muni facility for smaller cities, USO continues tweaking its holdings, comparing the growth in Fed's balance sheet to QE, deflation concerns, the slipping prospect of a V-shaped recovery, and black swan hedge funds.
Q1 2020 was expected to be bad, but the early results are far worse. If this were a normal quarter, the stock market would not take this news well. But because nothing is normal about this quarter, analysts are looking past this data. The problem is 2021 estimates are not great and forward P/E ratios are overvalued.
Today's topics include pushing back on the idea of negative rates, more detail on PPP loans, reviewing the rules of the Main Street Lending Program, world GDP guesstimates, all this debt comes with a price tag, the hit to munis, the top heavy stock market, central bank stimulus, and crude oil's storage shortage.
Today's topics include a bailout for oil companies?, Cushing's storage problem, questioning USO's activity this week, active management: stocks vs. bonds, China comes out of quarantine, a cautionary historical note, betting on falling yields in the U.S., pricing uncertainty, and Kocherlakota calls for a negative funds rate at next FOMC meeting.
A breakdown of the size of PPP loans and the industries that received them
The stock market is its most top-heavy in decades.
Since the mid-February high in the S&P 500, individual stocks have become highly correlated to the overall index, providing very little differentiation and opportunity for outperformance.
A look at foreign net sales and purchases of U.S. Treasuries, agencies, corporates and equities through February
The latest coronavirus charts