Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Commodity Prices since 1749
October 16, 2020
A long term look at commodity prices since 1749
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Weekly Research Roundup
October 16, 2020
Some charts from our recent posts
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
October 16, 2020
Today's topics include the rise of low-priced stocks, savings among the unemployed, a calmer tone on this weekend's shift away from LIBOR, junk bond returns, the risk of holding crypto, tighter mortgage standards for lower quality borrowers, setting limits on speculators, and alternatives to a 60/40 portfolio
Newsclips
Cartoons
October 16, 2020
Newsclips
There Are No Bad Bonds, Only Bad Prices
October 15, 2020
There is an old saying on Wall Street that "there are no bad bonds, only bad prices." It seems Quarles is proudly announcing the Fed will hold Treasuries at "bad prices." What ends this? Inflation.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
October 15, 2020
Today's topics include jobless claims, the global deficit, avoiding austerity if debt servicing costs remain low, managing the changing jobs market, the search for risk-free assets, cash as an alternative to bonds, the transition away from LIBOR, and betting on value stocks after the election
Newsclips
Cartoons
October 15, 2020
Newsclips
Will We See a “Red Mirage” Election Night?
October 14, 2020
The "red mirage" is the idea that election night ends with Trump ahead with more than 270 electoral college votes. As mail-in ballots begin being counted, however, several key states may flip until Biden is declared the winner.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
October 14, 2020
Today's topics include gauging the global recovery, the correlation between stocks & gold, Treasury yields & the election, the case for significant fiscal spending, disinflation, rising Covid hospitalizations, and manufacturing in the U.S.
Newsclips
Cartoons
October 14, 2020
Newsclips
Earnings Season Begins Today
October 13, 2020
Over the long term, earnings are typically expected to increase about 9% per year. The pandemic clearly changed that, with earnings only expected to grow roughly 10% between 2020 and 2021 combined.
Newsclips
Inflation Watch – Used Car Prices Jump Again
October 13, 2020
Used car prices continue to rise at a feverish pace.