Newsclips
COVID Records and the Economy
November 11, 2020
As COVID cases continue to spike, lockdowns are being instituted and the economy is struggling. But, for now, all that is being overlooked because a vaccine is coming.
As COVID cases continue to spike, lockdowns are being instituted and the economy is struggling. But, for now, all that is being overlooked because a vaccine is coming.
Today's topics include inflation & stocks, the future of the Fed, active management's struggles, timing the economic impact of a vaccine, Ackman's equity hedge, more on this week's stock market rotation, and the Fed's emergency lending facilities.
Since the Fed began buying corporate bonds and bond ETFs, this sector trades more like an index and less like a market of bonds.
Today's topics include rising yields & reflation, yesterday's stock rotation, a different way to view value stocks, manufacturing vs. service economies, checking in on the world's richest people, the jobs market, weather's effect on COVID, a central bank makeover, and negative-yielding bonds.
Good news on the vaccine front has ignited a powerful rally and a violent reversal away from work-from-home stocks. This is all good news. However, inflation and much higher interest rates now become a bigger risk worth monitoring.
To-date, 434 S&P 500 companies (87%) have reported earnings. 86% beat estimates, a record pace. Stock valuations remain very high.
Today's topics include junk bonds for the long run?, quantifying the long-term effects of QE on stocks, more on stocks during divided government, funds hold smallest cash positions in at least 13 years, prime money market funds, fraud in the paycheck protection program, import substituting industrialization, and more on the 60/40 portfolio
Emerging countries' activity continues to improve, but advanced economies' activity peaked in early October.
Only 61% of S&P 500 companies have positive net worth based on tangible assets alone.