Charts of the Week
Corporate Real Yield Expectations Go Negative
December 11, 2020
Yields on the Bloomberg/Barclays U.S. Corporate Index have fallen below 10-year inflation expectations for the first time on record.
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Leading Indicators Around the World
December 11, 2020
Although most economies are on much better footing versus the early stages of the pandemic, leading indicators suggest growth will remain below average for most countries.
Charts of the Week
Not All Jobs Markets Are Equal
December 11, 2020
Although high income employment has already recovered pre-pandemic levels, low income employment remains almost 20% below January levels.
Charts of the Week
Tallying the Fed’s Pandemic Purchases
December 11, 2020
Tracking the Fed's Treasury, MBS, and TIPS purchases since March
Charts of the Week
Updating Negative Rates – More European Yields Go Negative
December 11, 2020
An update of the world of negative-yielding debt
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Deficit/Surplus to GDP Since 1791
December 11, 2020
A long-term look at US deficit/surplus to GDP since 1791
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
December 11, 2020
Some charts from our recent posts.
Newsclips
Georgia Senate Update
December 10, 2020
Betting markets still give Republicans a 71% chance of retaining the majority of the Senate. They are seemingly at odds with the polls that suggest this is a much closer race. Polls were off going into election day by consistently overstating the Democrats' strength.
Newsclips
Inflation Watch – A Look at Housing Inflation
December 10, 2020
Housing inflation is at its lowest level in roughly a decade.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
December 10, 2020
Today's topics include weekly jobless claims, ECB pandemic playbook update. the seven figure oil trade, on inflation, controversy over pandemic bonds, a new housing boom, valuation warnings signs are back, negative yielding bonds, more transparency for retail investors coming, EU bond market troubles, and the K-shaped recovery
Newsclips
Cartoons
December 10, 2020
Newsclips
Interest Rates and Nominal Growth
December 9, 2020
Are interest rates heading higher on real growth or higher inflation expectations? Risk markets would respond very differently depending on the reason.