Charts of the Week
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
December 18, 2020
A home may be the biggest purchase most people make in their lives, but households' home equity is actually comparable to households' direct stock ownership.
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68% of GDP Is Due to Personal Consumption
December 18, 2020
Personal consumption continues to make up a larger portion of U.S. GDP as time progresses.
Charts of the Week
Over 44% of FDIC Deposits Are Uninsured
December 18, 2020
Over 44% of FDIC deposits in the U.S. are uninsured.
Charts of the Week
Net Equity Issuance
December 18, 2020
U.S. equity issuance grew by a net $906 billion in the third quarter.
Charts of the Week
LT Outlook: Interest Rates and the P/E of the S&P 500 Since 1881
December 18, 2020
A long-term look at interest rates and the P/E ratio of the S&P 500
Charts of the Week
Weekly Research Roundup
December 18, 2020
Some charts from our recent posts
Newsclips
Georgia Senate Update
December 17, 2020
Betting markets still give Republicans a 68% chance of retaining the majority of the Senate. The polls have actually also turned in favor of Republicans now.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
December 17, 2020
Today's topics include the Fed passes on WAM discussions, Powell says stocks are cheap, a historical comparison of stock rallies, the case against inflation, an unequal savings glut will lead to unequal spending, the curse of being added to an index, the return of dividends?, more on the delayed shift away from LIBOR, and bitcoin: to infinity & beyond
Newsclips
Cartoons
December 17, 2020
Newsclips
Stimulus Coming, When Does It End?
December 16, 2020
We fear the market may have to force the government's hand in reducing stimulus spending. A bad market reaction, perhaps in the form of a big rise in inflation caused by too much stimulus, would be one such scenario. If nothing "bad" happens, why would the government stop regularly mail checks to everyone?
Newsclips
TIC Update – Who Holds All the New Debt?
December 16, 2020
The Fed now owns roughly 13% of the U.S. Treasury market. Foreigners are still the largest single owner, holding almost 30% of all Treasury securities.
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
December 16, 2020
Today's topics include previewing the FOMC meeting, bitcoin's real value, consumer spending, making sense of first-day IPO pops, bulls vs. bears, high inflation fears threatening bond rally, pound rallies on Brexit, betting on a dollar crash, and cancelling student debt