Inflation components can be broken into the broad categories of reopening and non-reopening. Reopening components, such as airlines tickets and rental cars, have receded versus a few months ago. However, the more persistent non-reopening components continue to trend higher. This is a problem for the transitory inflation narrative.
Today's topics include inflation Powell and yields, controlling EM inflation, Reddit checking on the Fed's repo facility, Yellen's "guarantee", Chinese inflation, liquidity issues persist, FOMO market mentality, and crypto valuations
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Inflation, Powell’s Renomination, Yields & the Equity Markets Ben Breitholtz: US 10-year yields and implied volatility (MOVE Index) have yet to see an appreciable connection. This alone has kept us out of trouble looking for a burst to higher yields at the long-end. Keep a close eye on this… Continue reading Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – November 9th, 2021
Short rates are exhibiting a lot of volatility and dealing pain to a number of leveraged players. We believe this is part of a signal that central bankers have to tighten more aggressively in 2022.
Today's topics include talking cryptos and approval ratings, the race for Fed chair continues, the Fed warns on Chinese real estate, Nasdaq flashing warning signs, labor market churn, supply/demand imbalances, negative real rates, central bank communication, and Bill Gates's fortune
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Cryptocurrencies, Household Savings, Congressional Approval Jim Bianco: The chart shows the daily volume of all options trading. Friday’s volume was 55.12 million, the second-highest ever. Highlighted on the chart was every options volume spike back to 2008. Everyone was an “event” that everyone recognizes years later. So what was the… Continue reading Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – November 8th, 2021
The total market cap of the crypto universe is now over $3 trillion.
450 companies have reported earnings with a beat rate of 81%. While slightly below previous quarters, this is still quite high historically. Q3 2021 earnings growth is now over 40%.
Today's topics include more on Friday's payrolls report, quantifying leverage among hedge funds, uncertainty for central bankers, technology's role in the inflation debate, Chinese junk bonds, liquidity links the housing market & stocks, and the car market in charts.