Today's topics include buyers arrive, why do we have investment cycles?, betting against Treasuries, presidential approval rating, commodities, inflation expectations, gas prices, wage growth slowing, planning the slowdown in hikes, chicken prices meet inflation, and lessons in crypto
The end of bear markets tend to exhibit heightened volatility and increased trading volumes. Despite significant selling pressure in recent weeks, volatility indices do not indicate panic. Given this, it is important to note the connection between implied and realized volatility in markets.
Today's topics include uncertainty on the effects of QT, growth fears or inflation driving rates?, the FOMC minutes, the housing market, growth traps, more anecdotal evidence of wage hikes, and calling for a crypto plunge
Yesterday Jim conducted an interview of Stanford's Nick Bloom for RealVision. Nick is one of the foremost experts on remote work/work from home.
Retail traders and dip buyers dominated the markets in 2020 and 2021. The current bear market has dented those groups' conviction, but not yet to the point of capitulation.
Today's topics include where's the fear?, another look at a September pause, uncertainty surrounding QT, avoiding stagflation, shale's changing business model, can the Fed curb housing inflation?, quants' day in the sun, and Russian default draws near
Today's topics include Bostic sees the possibility of a September pause, bullish on bonds again, are earnings about to come down?, dividends vs. buybacks, inflation's effect on consumption, timing the market, insiders are buying, job churn, tech valuations, lots of cash looking for a home, more on rising energy bills, and checking in on the world's richest
Bull markets rarely get overbought ... TINA, FOMO, and BTD. Bear markets are the opposite, they rarely get oversold, and "tradable lows" are all but impossible to measure with bull market metrics.