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September 9, 2025
An argument can be made that the labor market's breakeven rate, an estimate of how many jobs the U.S. economy needs to create to keep up with population changes, is nearing zero. If so, cutting rates to stimulate an economy with no excess capacity risks pushing already elevated inflation higher.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Global Bond Markets, the US Labor Market & September Fed Meeting with Jonathan Ferro & Lisa Abramowicz.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Global Bond Markets, the US Labor Market & September Fed Meeting with Jonathan Ferro & Lisa Abramowicz.
The Commitments of Traders report enables investors to track changes in positions among various groups of traders/investors.
Nonfarm payrolls grew by 22k jobs in August, below economists' median estimate of 75k. While this is low, the question remains how many jobs must be created each month to support population changes.
Today's topics include Miran seems likely to be confirmed despite dual role, diverging bond markets, beating the S&P 500, what's at stake for the Fed, RRP & liquidity, a unique ETF trade, and Tether looks to more gold for stablecoin backing
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Tariffs, Productivity, the Global Bond Market Rout, Fed Independence, Gold & AI's Impact on the Labor Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Tariffs, Productivity, the Global Bond Market Rout, Fed Independence, Gold & AI's Impact on the Labor Market with Charles Payne.
When the payrolls report is released, the attention will be on the number of jobs created in August. The focus should be on the job creation necessary to cover population growth and new entrants into the workforce. Slowing population growth suggests 40k new jobs each month might be enough.
Today's topics include previewing tomorrow's payroll report, Treasury volatility & currency hedging costs rising ahead of payrolls report, tariff revenue, job stayers vs. job switchers, debating a sovereign wealth fund in the U.S., timing rate cuts, SF Fed comes to the BLS's defense, and lowering mortgage rates by privatizing the GSEs