Markets
CoT Commentary: Bullish Positioning on Both Live & Feeder Cattle
August 4, 2025
The Commitments of Traders report enables investors to track changes in positions among various groups of traders/investors.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 4, 2025
Today's topics include Trump to replace BLS statistics chief, Kugler's resignation opens door for changes at Fed, the odds of a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, purchasing power, comparing wealth by generation, another sign of a changing labor force, the garbage rally, and the housing market's woes
Humor
Cartoons
August 4, 2025
Markets
Conference Call Replay – Assessing The Economy and Markets After This Week
August 1, 2025
This week, everything aligns, and we get a deluge of data (GDP, Payrolls, ISM, etc.), central bank meetings (The Fed on Wednesday, in addition to the Bank of Canada and Japan), announcements (the quarterly refunding announcement), and earnings (including Apple and Microsoft). Join us as we assess the data and how/if it changed anything.
Data Reports
Employment In Pictures – Revisions Take a Bite Out of Payrolls
August 1, 2025
Nonfarm payrolls grew by 73k jobs in July, missing the economists' median estimate. The July data suggest a slower pace for the labor market, with revisions taking a large chunk out of May & June growth.
Data Reports
Total Return Review – Stocks vs. Bonds & U.S. vs. Ex-U.S. Returns
August 1, 2025
U.S. stocks have produced a higher return than the fixed income market at the cost of higher volatility.
Financial News
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
August 1, 2025
Today's topics include Liberation day 2.0, explaining dissents, BoJ rate hike probabilities, Japanese stock traders are bearish, the yuan's bad week, currency impacts in Europe, trading bonds electronically, the money being thrown around for AI is unreal, and Dalio takes his final step away from Bridgewater
Humor
Cartoons
August 1, 2025
Conference Call
Assessing The Economy and Markets After This Week
July 31, 2025
Join us tomorrow, August 1, for our next conference call.
Financial News
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
July 31, 2025
Today's topics include previewing tomorrow's payrolls report, can the US become more productive?, two dissents & no move, tech earnings dominate, photo finish trade deals, details on the QRA & Treasury issuance, understanding Fedspeak, and gold rush
Humor
Cartoons
July 31, 2025
Markets
This is going to be the last quiet meeting, September is going to be a much different ballgame
July 30, 2025
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to react to today's FOMC Statement with Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz, Tom Keene and Bob Michele.