Newsclips
Q1 2023 Earnings Update: Closing Out a Positive Earnings Season
May 15, 2023
Q1 2023 earnings season is nearing its end. The typical bounce has unfolded with 78% of companies beating expectations.
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Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
May 15, 2023
Today's topics include a note on the rise in initial claims, in search of the real x-date, will inflation return to 2%?, stock skepticism, some city metrics back to pre-pandemic norms, bank stocks, comparing tighter lending standards to high yield spreads, and arguments against a short selling ban
Newsclips
Cartoons
May 15, 2023
Newsclips
What Is the Real X-Date?
May 12, 2023
There are still questions about the real x-date. Is it around June 1 or is it around late July?
Newsclips
Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
May 12, 2023
Today's topics include updating the banking crisis, rising rates pose potential problems for insurance companies, inflation expectations reach 12-year high, Michelle Bowman not on board with rate pause, mixed signals on the debt ceiling negotiations, the budget deficit, and the bear market rally
Newsclips
Cartoons
May 12, 2023
Charts of the Week
Individual & Foreign Interest in T-Bills
May 12, 2023
Individuals and foreigners are chasing higher Treasury bill yields and buying record amounts. It confirms the trend of a "bank walk" out of low-yielding checking accounts.
Charts of the Week
Is the Fed Done Hiking?
May 12, 2023
The Fed has signaled they may be done hiking rates. What do market-based measures suggest?
Charts of the Week
Weaker Loan Demand & Tighter Lending Standards
May 12, 2023
The Fed's Q1 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey paints a picture of a banking industry that is seeing lower demand for loans, tightening lending standards, and increasing spreads on loans.
Charts of the Week
The Correlation Between Stock & Bond Returns
May 12, 2023
As inflation remains at elevated levels, the correlation between stock and bond returns is a telling sign on investors' thinking.
Charts of the Week
QT Rolls On
May 12, 2023
How big are the Fed's holdings of bonds, notes, bills, TIPS, MBS, agencies, and FRNs in relation the outstanding market?
Charts of the Week
Where Are Valuations?
May 12, 2023
There continues to be several uncertainties surrounding the global economy, especially after the banking crisis. Markets remain fairly valued for strong economic times, but valuations don't seem to account for potential disruptions ahead.