Financial News
What We’re Reading
December 16, 2025
Commentary & analysis of selected stories on December 16, 2025
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December 16, 2025
Central Banks
Should Fed Officials Prioritize Their Inflation or Employment Mandate?
December 15, 2025
A replay of our conference call discussing the Fed's balancing of the dual mandate.
Financial News
What We’re Reading
December 15, 2025
Commentary & analysis of selected stories on December 15, 2025
Humor
Cartoons
December 15, 2025
Economy
Diagnosing the Employment Breakeven Level
December 12, 2025
Economists have viewed lower monthly payrolls growth as a significant negative for the economy. Other indicators reject this and if you account for declining population growth, the labor market might actually be balanced.
Financial News
What We’re Reading
December 12, 2025
Commentary & analysis of selected stories on December 12, 2025
Humor
Cartoons
December 12, 2025
Fed
When Will the Fed Return to Profitability?
December 12, 2025
The Fed's losses seem to be slowing, but they have a huge hole to dig out of before they pay off all their IOUs to the Treasury.
Bonds
A Note on Gross Treasury Issuance vs. Net Treasury Issaunce
December 12, 2025
T-bill issuance is higher on both a gross and net basis, but examining the data on a gross issuance exaggerates the trend.
Central Banks
What to Expect From Central Banks in 2026
December 12, 2025
A majority of central banks are expected to start hiking rates in 2026 despite the Fed outlook for more cuts.
Stocks
The List of Trillion Dollar Companies Grows
December 12, 2025
Eli Lilly recently joined the club of companies worth more than $1 trillion.