Humor
Cartoons
November 1, 2023
The Bank of Japan enacted yield curve control in 2016. Since then, anytime yields on the Japanese 10-year pushed against the upper limit, the BoJ took action to widen the band. Earlier today the BoJ loosened the cap on rates for the fifth time, bringing into question the effectiveness of yield curve control.
Differentiating 'allocator' ETF flows from 'trader' ETF flows
Today's topics include the Fed's conundrum, on Treasury supply & borrowing, stickier wages adds challenges for the Fed, Chinese economy continues to flash worrying signs, a money draught in commercial real estate, the impact of the rush to cash, subpar savings rates, Eurozone inflation falls, and the Middle East war impact on oil
A replay of our November 2, 2023 conference call.
We are now into Q3 2023 earnings season. S&P 500 operating earnings, initially expected to decline, have jumped into positive growth territory.
Today's topics include Timiraos hints Fed may be done hiking, buying the TLT dip, why homeowners aren't selling, stocks enter correction territory, Barron's cover warning: bond edition, EM companies at risk from higher rates, a secular shift in consumer behavior, buying bonds, longer duration Treasury issuance coming, credit market concerns, US consumer spending strength baffles economists, and why has Bitcoin rallied?
Today's topics include checking in on the odds of further hikes, Treasury Secretary Yellen says don't blame deficit, more on yesterday's GDP release, playing the duration game, a tough earnings season for the magnificent seven, the growth of the upper middle class, housing's supply problem, and earnings misses becoming more costly.
Although stock valuations have come down over the past couple years, they remain high by historical standards. Expectations on future long-run stock returns must be tempered.