Today's topics include previewing tomorrow's CPI report, predicting payrolls, narratives fuel market moves, Bullard sticks with three cuts this year, elevated rates not consistent with rate cuts, banks' net interest income, rising commodities prices making life difficult for Fed, JGB liquidity, and a glut of natural gas
Today's topics include previewing tomorrow's CPI report, predicting payrolls, narratives fuel market moves, Bullard sticks with three cuts this year, elevated rates not consistent with rate cuts, banks' net interest income, rising commodities prices making life difficult for Fed, JGB liquidity, and a glut of natural gas
Q1 2024 earnings season starts this week. Expectations are still positive but have declined significantly while company guidance and negative preannouncements have turned lower. This could present a "valuation challenge" for equities.
Today's topics include timing the rate cuts, a key level for yields?, crude oil supply vs. demand, big tech's cash pile, European stocks are much cheaper than U.S. stocks, don't call it shrinkflation!, European debt issuance, and betting against the yen
Over 300k jobs were added in March, beating even the most optimistic economist's estimate. The odds of a rate cut at the June FOMC meeting are now a coin toss.
Today's topics include what to think of the market pullback, what if the Federal Reserve is wrong?, a widening opinion gap on the FOMC, relationship between stocks and bonds, on the oil rally, money markey funds hit fresh record, global equity supply, Fed's foreign reverse repo operation drawing attention, active strategies outperformed in Q1, and dumping PE investments at a loss
Today's topics include previewing tomorrow's payrolls report, Powell's take on inflation, measuring opinions on inflation, will the ECB beat the Fed to the first cut?, food prices, financial conditions, AI dominating the small-cap indices as well, betting on a continued rise in the dollar, manufacturing's decline in the U.S., and more on retirement savings
Today's topics include a longer-term look at rate cuts, rising yields matter, the jobs market, refilling the SPR, the art of forecasting, and how much is needed for retirement?