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May 2, 2017
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Earnings Update – A Great Week!
May 1, 2017
View PDF The Wall Street Journal – U.S. Stocks End Month Higher, Buoyed by Earnings The S&P 500 is within about half a percentage point of all-time highs and ends the week up 1.5% U.S. stocks ended the month higher, boosted by strong corporate earnings. The S&P 500 now sits about half a percentage point… Continue reading Earnings Update – A Great Week!
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Bond Funds Outperform During Rising Inflation Expectations
May 1, 2017
Bloomberg – Bond Traders’ Inflation Bets Have New Life, Just in Time for Fed BlackRock, GSAM warn against complacency on yields, inflation Bond traders demonstrated this week that for all the doubts about the Trump trade, wagers on quicker inflation still have life. Look no further than the U.S. 10-year breakeven rate. It climbed the most… Continue reading Bond Funds Outperform During Rising Inflation Expectations
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Libya Supply Back Online, Wildcatters Drill On
May 1, 2017
Bloomberg – Oil Price Optimism Wears Off as Texas Wildcatters Drill On Money managers slash WTI net-long position by most in 6 weeks The relentless drilling ramp-up in America’s top shale plays is making investors more skeptical that an oil price rebound is on the horizon. After increasing their bets on rising West Texas Intermediate crude… Continue reading Libya Supply Back Online, Wildcatters Drill On
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Ultra-Long Bonds
May 1, 2017
The Financial Times – Trump administration’s ultra-long bond talk faces scepticism Meeting this week will examine demand for debt maturing well beyond 30-year limit The Trump administration’s interest in issuing the US government’s first “ultra-long” bonds, following in the footsteps of countries such as the UK, Mexico and Belgium, is facing scepticism from fund managers,… Continue reading Ultra-Long Bonds
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Talking Markets
May 1, 2017
Comment Jim Bianco was on CNBC Friday discussing the markets. To view the interview, click on the image above. To view any of our recent interviews, click here.
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Predicting The Peak In Stocks
May 1, 2017
CNBC – Mario Gabelli sees another ‘pocket’ like the ’87 crash ahead — he just doesn’t know when The market has no margin of safety, but it is OK, Mario Gabelli said. However, investors need to be prepared for “one of those pockets” like the 1987 “Black Monday” crash and 2010 “flash crash,” he warned. He… Continue reading Predicting The Peak In Stocks
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This Week’s Fed Meeting Is All About The Balance Sheet
May 1, 2017
The Wall Street Journal – Fed Officials Expected to Keep Rates Steady Federal Reserve officials are likely to keep interest rates steady at their policy meeting this week and drill down into details about when and how to reduce their large holdings of mortgage and Treasury securities. The challenge in their postmeeting policy statement will… Continue reading This Week’s Fed Meeting Is All About The Balance Sheet
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The French Election
May 1, 2017
The Wall Street Journal – Europe Investors Bid Adieu to Political Jitters and Begin Buying Money flows to the continent as focus turns to economic recovery Investors aren’t waiting for the conclusion of the French election to put money back into Europe. They are already flocking back, betting that the region has finally unshackled itself… Continue reading The French Election
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Interpreting The Drop In 10-Year Yields
May 1, 2017
Barron’s – Byron Wien: The Scary Signal of the Bond Market The surprising drop in 10-year Treasury yield speaks volumes about challenges of a changing economy. At the beginning of the year, most market strategists were in agreement that interest rates were going to rise in 2017. The reasons varied: some saw inflation climbing, pushing… Continue reading Interpreting The Drop In 10-Year Yields
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Hedge Funds Reduce Their British Pound Net Short Position
May 1, 2017
The Financial Times – Hedge funds slash bets against sterling Currency strengthens as investors expect Conservatives to win election and gain seats Hedge funds have slashed their bets against the British pound to the lowest level since the Brexit vote in June last year, after the currency enjoyed its best month against the dollar in… Continue reading Hedge Funds Reduce Their British Pound Net Short Position
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Hard Data vs. Soft Data
May 1, 2017
Bloomberg – Central Banks to Stay Looser Longer Than Markets Expect This is a busy time for major central banks. The Bank of Japan and European Central Bank met last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Federal Reserve meet this week, and the Bank of England meets next week. Although most major central… Continue reading Hard Data vs. Soft Data