Credit Default Swaps & the Debt Ceiling
What is happening in the CDS market and why is the debt ceiling a critical factor in widening spreads?... Read More
Sample Commentary
Talking Data – What Is the Proper Level of Yields?
In the latest installment of Talking Data, Jim discusses proper rate levels. ... Read More
The Current Drivers of the Bond Market
A replay of our May 22, 2025 conference call. ... Read More
Talking Data – The Case For the Bond Market
In the latest installment of Talking Data, Jim discusses the investment case for the bond market.... Read More
Newsclips
Inflation Watch – Biggest Beat in More Than a Year
Posted By Greg Blaha
CPI came in much higher than expectations. Traders now see a roughly 50/50 chance the Fed remains on hold through the September meeting.... Read More
Newsclips
Is Inflation Becoming Unanchored? – An Update
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Fed believes controlling inflation expectations is critical to returning to its 2% target. However, most measures of inflation expectations are becoming unanchored. If the Fed continues ignoring this, the bond market's reaction will worsen.... Read More
Newsclips
Fund Flows – Allocators vs. Traders
Posted By Greg Blaha
Differentiating 'allocator' ETF flows from 'trader' ETF flows... Read More
Client Conference Calls
The 4-5-6 Markets
A replay of our January 28, 2024 conference call. ... Read More
Newsclips
Why the Market Is Signaling an Inflation Problem?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The TIPS market and consumer surveys expect higher inflation levels in 2025. The bond market is responding with higher yields even though the Fed is cutting rates and sees more rate cuts into 2025.... Read More
Newsclips
Employment in Pictures – Strikes and Weather
Posted By Jim Bianco
Weather and strikes have muddied the payroll report's economic signaling. We will have to wait for revisions. The unemployment rate was not muddied, pointing to some strength in the labor market.... Read More